Ohio
W-L: (17-15) PR = 93.9921Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 72-66 1109 H Columbia IVY (24- 8, 95.8) 74-92 1113 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 76-60 1120 H Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 53-74 1124 A Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 80-66 1130 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 59-64 1205 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 72-70 1213 A Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 72-67 1220 H St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 74-80 1231 A Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 85-83 103 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 73-56 107 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 96-87 110 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 71-59 114 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 68-71 114 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 68-71 117 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 66-62 121 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 82-57 124 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 66-75 128 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 76-85 131 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 70-90 204 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 76-37 207 H Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 76-84 210 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 71-67 214 A Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 71-61 218 H Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 64-** 225 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 56-60 228 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 85-86 304 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 62-54 307 A Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 77-62 311 A Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 89-88 313 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 52-80 319 H UMBC AE (15-15, 93.5) 58-62
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A TX St-SM 72-66 6 1 0.98
1109 H Columbia 74-92 -18 -2 -0.21
1113 A Morehead St 76-60 16 0 1.74
1120 H Xavier 53-74 -21 0 - -2.18
1124 A Wright St 80-66 14 1 0.54
1130 H Davidson 59-64 -5 -1 -0.98
1205 A Ill-Chicago 72-70 2 0 1.53
1213 A Radford 72-67 5 0 1.50
1220 H St Louis 74-80 -6 0 - -2.30
1231 A Ce Michigan 85-83 2 0 + 2.36
103 A Akron 73-56 17 2 0.40
107 A Ea Michigan 96-87 9 1 1.48
110 A Buffalo 71-59 12 2 0.00
114 H Kent State 68-71 -3 0 - -2.03
114 H Kent State 68-71 -3 0 - -2.03
117 A No Illinois 66-62 4 2 0.35
121 A Bowling Grn 82-57 25 0 1.86
124 H Toledo 66-75 -9 0 - -2.06
128 H Mass 76-85 -9 -1 -1.16
131 H Miami (OH) 70-90 -20 -1 -0.61
204 A We Michigan 76-37 39 1 0.86
207 H Old Dominion 76-84 -8 0 -1.52
210 A Toledo 71-67 4 0 1.96
214 A Kent State 71-61 10 0 1.99
218 H Akron 64-** -44 2 - -3.62
225 H Bowling Grn 56-60 -4 0 - -2.16
228 H Ball St 85-86 -1 -1 0.14
304 A Ea Michigan 62-54 8 1 1.48
307 A Miami (OH) 77-62 15 -1 + 3.41
311 A Ce Michigan 89-88 1 0 1.36
313 H Miami (OH) 52-80 -28 -1 -0.61
319 H UMBC 58-62 -4 0 - -2.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1120 H Xavier 53-74 -21 0 - -2.18 1220 H St Louis 74-80 -6 0 - -2.30 114 H Kent State 68-71 -3 0 - -2.03 114 H Kent State 68-71 -3 0 - -2.03 124 H Toledo 66-75 -9 0 - -2.06 218 H Akron 64-** -44 2 - -3.62 225 H Bowling Grn 56-60 -4 0 - -2.16 319 H UMBC 58-62 -4 0 - -2.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1231 A Ce Michigan 85-83 2 0 + 2.36 307 A Miami (OH) 77-62 15 -1 + 3.41 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 72-66 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.95 7.65
3 H Columbia (24- 8, 95.8) 74-92 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.95 -1.95
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 76-60 -6.18 4.78 0.01 0.95 9.09
3 H Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 53-74 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 0.95 -2.89
3 A Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 80-66 -7.38 3.58 0.01 0.95 6.81
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 59-64 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.95 -2.32
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 72-70 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.95 8.70
3 A Radford (23-13, 93.5) 72-67 -6.42 4.54 0.01 0.95 8.63
3 H St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 74-80 -6.19 4.77 -0.01 0.95 -2.94
3 A Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 85-83 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.95 10.27
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 73-56 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.95 6.54
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 96-87 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.95 8.60
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 71-59 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.95 5.08
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 68-71 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 0.95 -2.82
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 68-71 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 0.95 -2.82
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 66-62 -7.57 3.39 0.01 0.95 6.44
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 82-57 -6.05 4.91 0.01 0.95 9.33
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 66-75 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 0.95 -2.83
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 76-85 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 0.95 -2.40
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 70-90 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.95 -2.14
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 76-37 -7.06 3.90 0.01 0.95 7.41
3 H Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 76-84 -5.42 5.54 -0.01 0.95 -2.57
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 71-67 -5.95 5.01 0.01 0.95 9.52
3 A Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 71-61 -5.93 5.03 0.01 0.95 9.57
3 H Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 64-** -7.52 3.44 -0.01 0.95 -3.57
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 56-60 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 0.95 -2.88
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 85-86 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 62-54 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.95 8.60
3 A Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 77-62 -4.51 6.45 0.01 0.95 12.26
3 A Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 89-88 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.95 10.27
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 52-80 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.95 -2.14
3 H UMBC (15-15, 93.5) 58-62 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 0.95 -3.03
------
105.20
|
winning pts = 144.7568 losing points = -39.5562
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------